Economic Update for the week of Februrary 22nd, 2017

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
WEEKLY QUOTE               “Never tell people how to do things. Tell them what to do and they will surprise you with their ingenuity.”      - George S. Patton           WEEKLY TIP               When a divorce settlement requires a party to keep up their life insurance, the insured should go through the underwriting process before signing the agreement. If new coverage cannot be easily obtained, trusts or other estate planning tools can be created in response.          WEEKLY RIDDLE             Picture three trees. Whatever happens to the third tree must happen to the first tree, and anything that happens to the second tree must be replicated on the third. What happens if the second tree is cut down?     Last week’s riddle: Call loudly it does for great distances, thanks to its hard shell and tongue. Yet it will never breathe in making its noise, for it has no lung. What is it?       Last week’s answer: A bell.	February 22, 2017    RETAIL SALES ROSE 0.4% in JANUARY Consumer spending on household electronics and appliances powered this gain. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 0.1% advance. Core retail purchases also rose 0.4% last month. The Department of Commerce revised the December increase for retail sales upward to 1.0%. Across the 12 months ending in January, retail sales advanced 5.6%.1      INFLATION PRESSURE MOUNTS In January, the headline Consumer Price Index climbed 0.6%. That was its greatest monthly gain in four years, and it took annualized inflation to a 4-year high of 2.5%. Producer prices also jumped 0.6% in January, in the largest monthly increase seen since September 2012; that development left them up 1.6% year-over-year.1,2   BUILDING PERMITS UP, HOUSING STARTS DOWN Unsurprisingly, groundbreaking declined in January. The Census Bureau recorded a 2.6% fall for housing starts in the winter weather. The rate of permits issued for future projects, however, increased by 4.6%.3        FURTHER GAINS IN A BULLISH FEBRUARY The S&P 500 pulled off another weekly advance, adding 1.51% from February 13-17 on its way to a Friday settlement of 2,351.16. Its 5-day performance actually lagged both the Dow and the Nasdaq: the blue chips gained 1.75%, to 20,624.05, as the broad tech sector benchmark rose 1.82%, to 5,838.58.4   THIS WEEK: Monday is Presidents Day, so U.S. stock and bond markets are closed; America’s Car-Mart and Dillard’s report Q4 results. Tuesday, Advance Auto Parts, Cracker Barrel, HealthSouth, Home Depot, Kaiser Aluminum, La-Z-Boy, Macy’s, Medtronic, Newmont Mining, Nautilus, Papa John’s, Red Robin, and Walmart all join the earnings parade. On Wednesday, earnings from Cheesecake Factory, Chico’s FAS, DISH Network, Fitbit, Garmin, Green Dot, HP, Jack-in-the-Box, L Brands, Popeyes, Public Storage, Six Flags Entertainment, Square, Sunoco, Tesla, TJX, Toll Brothers, Transocean, and Weibo complement minutes from February’s Federal Reserve policy meeting and January existing home sales numbers. A new initial claims report arrives Thursday, along with earnings from AMC Networks, Baidu, Chesapeake Energy, Gap, Herbalife, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Hormel Foods, iHeartMedia, Intuit, Kohl’s, Live Nation, Mitel, Nordstrom, Pinnacle Foods, Sears Holdings, Sprouts, and Toro. Friday, earnings from Berkshire Hathaway, Boise Cascade, Foot Locker, JCPenney, Magellan Health, and Revlon emerge, plus the final February University of Michigan consumer sentiment index and the January new home sales report.   % CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG DJIA +4.36 +25.34 +11.85 +6.15 NASDAQ +8.46 +28.77 +19.56 +13.39 S&P 500 +5.02 +22.02 +14.54 +6.15 REAL YIELD 2/17 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO 10 YR TIPS 0.41% 0.53% -0.23% 2.36%   Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 2/17/174,5,6,7 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
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«RepresentativeDisclosure»   This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note - investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.   Citations. 1 - reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-idUSKBN15U1NB [2/15/17] 2 - tradingeconomics.com/united-states/producer-prices [2/17/17] 3 - investing.com/economic-calendar/ [2/17/17] 4 - markets.wsj.com/us [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F17%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F17%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F17%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F17%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F17%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F17%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F16%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F16%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F16%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/17/17] 6 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/17/17] 7 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/17/17]

Economic Update for the week of February 15th, 2017

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
WEEKLY QUOTE               “I’m convinced that about half of what separates the successful entrepreneurs from the non-successful ones is pure perseverance.”      - Steve Jobs            WEEKLY TIP               Many people stay with the same bank for decades. Online tools now make it easier to compare various banks. If you find your bank’s fees irritating or its ATM network insufficient, you can explore your options.           WEEKLY RIDDLE             Call loudly it does for great distances, thanks to its hard shell and tongue. Yet it will never breathe in making its noise, for it has no lung. What is it?     Last week’s riddle: It doesn’t have eyes, but once it held two. It once held thoughts, but is now empty. What could it be?       Last week’s answer: A skull.	February 15, 2017    CONSUMER SENTIMENT SLIPS A BIT The University of Michigan’s preliminary February index of consumer sentiment came in at a reading of 95.7 Friday, compared with a final January mark of 98.5 (which was a 13-year peak). Economists polled by Bloomberg had expected a slight decline to 98.0. While this was the index’s lowest level in three months, it still topped many of the monthly readings from 2016.1      HOW IS EARNINGS SEASON GOING? Nearly two-thirds of S&P 500 members have issued Q4 results so far. As Zacks Investment Research noted Wednesday, more than 69% of these S&P components have beaten earnings-per-share estimates; more than 54% have surpassed revenue forecasts. Total Q4 earnings for S&P firms are projected to rise 7.3% over Q4 2015, the strongest annual earnings growth since Q4 2014.2    GOLD GAINS AS OIL WAVERS Gold futures advanced 1.12% on the COMEX during a choppy week to a Friday settlement of $1,233.30. Light sweet crude for March delivery dipped at midweek, but then rebounded, settling at $53.81 Friday for a 5-day retreat of just 0.09%.3        STOCKS PUSH HIGHER Wall Street rallied strongly Friday after President Trump (and the White House) mentioned an upcoming outline for business and individual income tax reform. For the week, the S&P 500 gained 0.81% to 2,316.10; the Nasdaq, 1.19% to 5,734.13; and the Dow, 0.99% to 20,269.37.4,5   THIS WEEK: On Monday, Noble Energy, Rent-A-Center, and Snyder’s-Lance offer earnings news. Tuesday, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen begins two days of testifying to Congress on monetary policy; the January PPI also arrives, plus earnings from Agilent Technologies, AIG, Devon Energy, Dr. Pepper Snapple, Express Scripts, Molson Coors, and T-Mobile. Reports on January retail sales and industrial output appear Wednesday, along with the January CPI and earnings announcements from Analog Devices, Applied Materials, Avis Budget Group, CBS, Choice Hotels, Cisco, Denny’s, GoDaddy, Groupon, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Huntsman, Kraft Heinz, Marathon Oil, Marriott International, NetApp, NetEase, PepsiCo, TiVo, TripAdvisor, and Wyndham Worldwide. Thursday offers fresh data on building permits, housing starts, and initial claims; investors also review earnings from Avon, Boise Cascade, Cabela’s, Dean Foods, DISH Network, Duke Energy, Hyatt, and Waste Management. Bloomin’ Brands, Campbell Soup, Deere, Fluor, J.M. Smucker, and Spectra Energy announce earnings Friday.   % CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG DJIA +2.56 +27.36 +11.67 +6.11 NASDAQ +6.52 +33.86 +19.49 +13.31 S&P 500 +3.45 +25.07 +14.50 +6.11 REAL YIELD 2/10 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO 10 YR TIPS 0.40% 0.50% -0.24% 2.43%   Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 2/10/175,6,7,8 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
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«RepresentativeDisclosure»   This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note - investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.   Citations. 1 - bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-10/u-s-consumer-sentiment-cooled-in-february-on-views-of-finances [2/10/17] 2 - zacks.com/commentary/103286/positive-earnings-picture [2/8/17] 3 - markets.on.nytimes.com/research/markets/commodities/commodities.asp [2/10/17] 4 - thehill.com/policy/finance/318736-trump-expect-phenomenal-announcement-on-taxes-in-coming-weeks [2/9/17] 5 - markets.wsj.com/us [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F10%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F10%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F10%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F10%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F10%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F10%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F9%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F9%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F9%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17] 7 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/10/17] 8 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/10/17]

Economic Update for the week of February 8th, 2017

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
WEEKLY QUOTE               “Achievement is largely the product of steadily raising one’s levels of aspiration and expectation.”      - Jack Nicklaus            WEEKLY TIP               Be sure to study your potential Medicare choices in the years before you turn 65. Evaluate whether you should go with original Medicare (and Part D coverage) or a Part C plan.          WEEKLY RIDDLE             It doesn’t have eyes, but once it held two. It once held thoughts, but is now empty. What could it be?     Last week’s riddle: Double S, double P, it has four Is and not one C. What oft-seen 11-letter word is this?       Last week’s answer: Mississippi.	February 8, 2017    POSITIVES & NEGATIVES IN JANUARY’s JOB DATA The Department of Labor’s latest jobs report showed 227,000 net new hires last month. Unfortunately, wages grew just 0.1% in January as the headline jobless rate rose slightly to 4.8%. The U-6 rate, counting the underemployed, rose 0.2% to 9.4%.1      STRONG CONSUMER CONFIDENCE & SPENDING While the Conference Board’s monthly consumer confidence index declined 1.5 points in January, it remained at a high level with a 111.8 reading. Personal spending improved 0.5% in December, with personal incomes up 0.3%.2    ISM INDICES SHOW FURTHER SECTOR EXPANSION The Institute for Supply Management’s purchasing manager indices were at high levels in January. ISM’s factory index gained 1.5 points to 56.0. Its service sector gauge ticked down 0.1 points to 56.5, but that still signaled solid growth.3 DODD-FRANK ACT FACES A REVIEW Through an executive order issued Friday, President Donald Trump authorized a review of this law aimed at regulating activities of big banks. According to the New York Times, the directive also calls for major sections of Dodd-Frank to be revised.4        MINOR PROGRESS FOR THE S&P 500 The Federal Reserve stood pat on interest rates, bank shares rose on the Dodd-Frank news, and January hiring totals exceeded forecasts. These developments helped stocks make small weekly gains. In five days, the S&P 500 rose 0.12% to 2,297.42, and the Nasdaq 0.11%, to 5,666.77. The Dow lost 0.11% to settle at 20,071.46 Friday.5   THIS WEEK: CNA Financial, Hasbro, Loews Corp., Sysco, Tesoro, 21st Century Fox, and Tyson Foods announce earnings Monday. Tuesday’s earnings roll call features results from Akamai, Aramark, Archer Daniels Midland, Buffalo Wild Wings, Container Store, General Motors, Genworth Financial, Gilead Sciences, Lennox, Michael Kors, Mosaic, NETGEAR, O’Reilly, Panera Bread, Penske, Spirit Airlines, Take-Two Interactive, Vulcan Materials, and Walt Disney Co. Wednesday, earnings emerge from Alaska Air, Allergan, Exelon, GlaxoSmithKline, Goodyear, Humana, Prudential Financial, Time Warner, W.R. Grace, and Whole Foods. New initial claims numbers arrive Thursday, plus earnings from Activision Blizzard, Advance Auto Parts, Beazer, Coca-Cola, Cummins, CVS Health, Dunkin’ Brands, Expedia, Gannett, Kellogg, Kemper, NCR, Nvidia, Occidental Petroleum, Pandora, Skechers, Twitter, Viacom, Western Union, Yelp, Yum! Brands, and Zynga. Friday, the University of Michigan’s latest household sentiment index appears, plus Q4 results from CBRE Group.   % CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG DJIA +1.56 +22.86 +11.21 +5.86 NASDAQ +5.27 +25.81 +19.01 +12.89 S&P 500 +2.62 +20.12 +14.16 +5.86 REAL YIELD 2/3 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO 10 YR TIPS 0.44% 0.50% -0.21% 2.42%   Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 2/3/175,6,7,8 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
Please feel free to forward this article to family, friends or colleagues. If you would like us to add them to our distribution list, please reply with their address. We will contact them first and request their permission to add them to our list.
«RepresentativeDisclosure»   This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note - investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.   Citations. 1 - investopedia.com/news/strong-january-jobs-report-wage-growth-still-soft/ [2/3/17] 2 - investing.com/economic-calendar/ [2/3/17] 3 - instituteforsupplymanagement.org/ismreport/nonmfgrob.cfm [2/3/17] 4 - nytimes.com/2017/02/03/business/dealbook/trump-congress-financial-regulations.html [2/3/17] 5 - markets.wsj.com/us [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F3%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F3%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F3%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F3%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F3%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F3%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F2%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F2%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F2%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/3/17] 7 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/3/17] 8 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/3/17]