In this week’s recap: households buy more but
feel less upbeat about the near future, the Dow rises, and homebuilders start
more projects.
Weekly Economic Update
Presented by Troy L Thompson, CFP, August 22, 2018
MID-SUMMER
MEANT BUYING FOR CONSUMERS
According to new Census Bureau data, retail
sales were 0.5% improved in July. Core retail sales (all categories except car
and truck buying) rose 0.6% last month. The only sour note was the revision the
Bureau made to June’s headline and core retail sales advances. The overall June
retail sales gain was reduced to 0.2% from 0.5%; the core gain, to 0.2% from
0.4%.1,2
HOUSEHOLD
SENTIMENT GAUGE DISAPPOINTS
In its initial August edition, the University
of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment fell 2.6 points to 95.3. That was a
miss: analysts polled by Briefing.com expected a reading of 97.8. This
preliminary August reading was also an 11-month low for the index.1,2
A
MINOR JULY GAIN FOR HOUSING STARTS
A new federal government report showed
residential construction activity up 0.9% last month. Building permits increased
1.5% after three months of retreats.3
DOW
LEADS THE WAY ON WALL STREET
Ascending 1.41% over five market days, the
Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Friday’s trading session at 25,669.32. The
S&P 500 also had a positive week, advancing 0.59% to 2,850.13. The same was
not true for the Nasdaq Composite. The tech-heavy benchmark lost 0.29% last
week to finish at 7,816.33, Friday. Also notable: gold’s weekly loss of 2.9%. A
strong dollar has put pressure on the yellow metal of late, and this past week
was gold’s worst on the COMEX in 15 months.2,4
T I P O F
T H E W E E K
Many people plan for retirement without giving much thought to life expectancy. What if you live much longer than you think you will? As you near retirement, take this possibility into account.
THIS WEEK
On Monday, Estee Lauder presents
second-quarter results. | Tuesday’s earnings roll call includes announcements
from Coty, Kohl’s, La-Z-Boy, Medtronic, J.M. Smucker, and Urban Outfitters. | Analog
Devices, Lowe’s, Stein Mart, and Target offer earnings on Wednesday; in
addition, investors will consider minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve
policy meeting and July existing home sales figures. | July new home sales data
is out Thursday, plus the latest initial claims report and earnings from
Alibaba Group, Gap, Hormel Foods, HP, Intuit, and Toro. | Federal Reserve
Chairman Jerome Powell gives a speech on monetary policy Friday morning at the
Kansas City Fed’s annual Jackson Hole economic policy symposium; away from
Jackson Hole, Foot Locker announces quarterly earnings and data on July hard
goods orders arrives.
Q U O T E O F T H E W E E K
“Nature does nothing uselessly.”
Aristotle
% CHANGE
|
Y-T-D
|
1-YR CHG
|
5-YR AVG
|
10-YR AVG
|
DJIA
|
3.84
|
18.02
|
14.04
|
12.36
|
NASDAQ
|
13.22
|
25.63
|
23.39
|
22.34
|
S&P 500
|
6.60
|
17.30
|
14.43
|
12.29
|
REAL YIELD
|
8/17 RATE
|
1 YR AGO
|
5 YRS AGO
|
10 YRS AGO
|
10
YR TIPS
|
0.79
|
0.42
|
0.68
|
1.67
|
Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 8/17/184,5,6,7
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be
invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS
real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
T H E W E E K L Y
R I D D L E
LAST
WEEK’S RIDDLE: A cargo truck hauling a load of lumber can carry 2 tons. It
approaches a bridge with a sign, which notes that the bridge can support up to
2 tons of weight. The driver sees the sign and reckons that the bridge should
hold up under the weight of the truck. Is the driver right?
ANSWER:
No, the driver is wrong. If the truck carries no load, it might make it across.
The lumber the truck is carrying, however, will push the weight above 2 tons.
Troy L
Thompson, CFP may be reached at 515-432-5421 or troy@thompsonfinancialinc.com
www.thompsonfinancialinc.com
www.thompsonfinancialinc.com
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This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does
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Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be
invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not
indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a
price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ
Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common
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(NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the
preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted
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palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade.
Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency
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CITATIONS:
1 - briefing.com/investor/calendars/economic/2018/08/13-17
[8/17/18]
2 - marketwatch.com/story/weaker-gold-heads-for-3-weekly-drop-2018-08-17
[8/17/18]
3 - reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-housingstarts/us-housing-starts-rise-less-than-expected-in-july-idUSKBN1L11FI
[8/16/18]
4 - markets.wsj.com/us [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F17%2F17&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F17%2F17&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F17%2F17&x=0&y=0
[8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F17%2F17&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F16%2F13&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F16%2F13&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F16%2F13&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F18%2F08&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F17%2F17&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F16%2F13&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F16%2F13&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F16%2F13&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F18%2F08&x=0&y=0 [8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F18%2F08&x=0&y=0
[8/17/18]
5 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F18%2F08&x=0&y=0
[8/17/18]
6 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [8/17/18]
7 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [8/17/18]
6 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [8/17/18]
7 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [8/17/18]
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